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TRYUSINGLOGIC

Articles Posted: 62  Links Seeded: 9
Member Since: 4/2009  Last Seen: 4/30/2012

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Only .5% of world energy comes from wind, tide, wave, solar and geothermal put together!

Sat May 28, 2011 9:41 PM EDT
science, energy, oil, global-warming, nuclear, green, coal, reason, fact, reneables
By TryUsingLogic
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If the world is getting 99.5% of its energy from coal, gas, nuclear and oil, what kind of miracle is it going to take for Obama to force us to go Green?  Obama is planning to buy Chevy Volts for the government to naively begin to solve this huge problem while praying for a Green God of Energy.  What on earth is he thinking?  Nuclear is the most promising energy and we are using it the least. 

It is similar to someone saying there is a water shortage, so tomorrow let's stop using water and find a replacement!

Article by Matt Ridley looking at the data from the IPCC.  http://www.rationaloptimist.com/blog/why-renewables-keep-running-out?amp

We need to rely on reason and fact to solve the energy problem.....not Utopian dreaming!  New energy sources will be found by free markets and capitalism......not Big Government demands!  Ridley's article clearly show what a mess we are facing.

TryUsingLogic

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  • Public Discussion (106)
TryUsingLogic

While we look for new energy sources we should be improving the suppies and effieciency of energy we have, need and must use!

  • 4 votes
#1 - Sat May 28, 2011 9:45 PM EDT
Chris-735081

Speaking of 'logic'... you do realize that what you are saying is based one of the most classic fallacious arguments right?

Argumentum ad Populum, also known as the "Bandwagon Fallacy".

Exposition: The Bandwagon Fallacy is committed whenever one argues for an idea based upon an irrelevant appeal to its popularity.

http://www.fallacyfiles.org/bandwagn.html

Think about this some more and try again.

There is no logical merit whatsoever to the idea that because a thing is done more frequently, then that thing is clearly superior in nature.

  • 20 votes
#1.1 - Sat May 28, 2011 10:30 PM EDT
TryUsingLogic

There is no logical merit whatsoever to the idea that because a thing is done more frequently, then that thing is clearly superior in nature.

What is your point? The bandwagon here is everybody jumping on the "green wagon" because liberals and environmentalists say it will work and it is cool.....with no logic, science or reasonable plan to pull it off!

  • 2 votes
#1.2 - Sat May 28, 2011 10:50 PM EDT
Indy Lib

The fact is that China is already far ahead of us in the "green technology" department because they do not have the oil industry fighting them every step of the way like we do here. Our growth is stunted by the very market forces you cheer. And our country will pay a dear price for this lack of foresight.

  • 18 votes
#1.3 - Sat May 28, 2011 11:04 PM EDT
Chris-735081

What is your point?

The most central point in the small amount of text in your article is:

Only .5% of world energy comes from wind, tide, wave, solar and geothermal put together!

This is meaningless. That's my point.

The bandwagon here is everybody jumping on the "green wagon" because liberals and environmentalists say it will work and it is cool.....with no logic, science or reasonable plan to pull it off!

So... you suggested a new bandwagon to jump on that isn't widely supported by a group of people you don't like?

Look, what you did was throw out a bandwagon appeal and followed it up by a string of other logically fallacious appeals.

You didn't show a single fact or rational argument here at all. Not once.

The single thing you said here was even close to being a statement of fact is, "Nuclear is the most promising energy and we are using it the least" which isn't even a statement of fact, it's a statement of opinion with no supporting evidence included in your article.

Then, you followed that up with THIS strawman attack:

It is similar to someone saying there is a water shortage, so tomorrow let's stop using water and find a replacement!

"In the straw man fallacy, an arguer oversimplifies, or purposely distorts an opponent's argument (sets up the straw man), in order that he may attack it more easily (knock it down), and then claims that the opponent's position has been refuted. "

http://editthis.info/logic/Informal_Fallacies

I find it the height of irony that you could bring yourself to write the following sentence, without once using logic, facts or un-muddled reasoning.

We need to rely on reason and fact to solve the energy problem

There, try using logic, tryusinglogic.

Here's a good primer for you:

http://editthis.info/logic/Informal_Fallacies

Read that, then apply it to the things you say and to the things people say to you. Then, you'll be using logic.

If you'd like, I can also point out where you resorted to the "poisoning the well" strategy and numerous ad hominem fallacious logical appeals.

You're about ZERO for 11 here.

  • 15 votes
#1.4 - Sat May 28, 2011 11:25 PM EDT
TryUsingLogic



This is meaningless. That's my point

That's your opinion.....along with your other babble.....

    #1.5 - Sat May 28, 2011 11:37 PM EDT
    Chris-735081

    Yeah.

    I'm not convinced you know the difference between a fact and an opinion yet.

    If this article is your opinion of what "logic" is, then I'd say your capacity to determine which is which is open to conjecture.

    Care to try again?

    • 9 votes
    #1.6 - Sun May 29, 2011 12:00 AM EDT
    Z1P2

    Why is it that on Newsvine the people who use their brains the least, pick nicknames that attempt to suggest that they use them the most?

    • 10 votes
    #1.7 - Sun May 29, 2011 1:30 AM EDT
    grumpy_jon

    New energy sources will be found by free markets and capitalism

    This might be true if energy sectors in the market weren't so completely controlled by oligopolies who see no use or profit in:

    • finding more resources (despite the rhetoric, the oil companies are not drilling the lands that they already have access to; they just want more land access)
    • make better profits by creating shortages rather than encountering shortages
    • exhibit price leadership instead of competition (competition is almost dead in corporate America).
    • only look out for their own interests and nobody else's interests.

    I am a huge fan of capitalism; if we ever get back to being a capitalistic society, I will be the first one to cheer. However, we are light years away from that now; largely, by rhetoric such as this.

    • 6 votes
    #1.8 - Sun May 29, 2011 2:31 AM EDT
    space guy

    The fact is that China is already far ahead of us in the "green technology" department because they do not have the oil industry fighting them every step of the way like we do here. Our growth is stunted by the very market forces you cheer. And our country will pay a dear price for this lack of foresight.

    Uh, no. China is building far more coal fired plants and nuclear plants than any country in the world because they understand that it takes terawatts of power to run a modern civilization.

    Today, the so called green energy that you love (an which I sell and support), has a massive subsidy from oil, coal, and nuclear power because it takes a LOT of energy to make a solar panel and a wind turbine.

    If we had to make solar panels and wind turbines using only solar and wind power, the cost would be prohibitive.

    I read all of these posts in this thread and not an engineer in the bunch. I design and build these systems and while in niche applications it is a wonderful technology, you are not going to run a planetary civilization of 9 billion people with wind and solar or hydrothermal and hydroelectricity. It simply is not going to happen, the numbers do not support it.

    • 4 votes
    #1.9 - Sun May 29, 2011 5:42 AM EDT
    eapeau

    the world is getting 99.5% of its energy from coal, gas, nuclear and oil

    Actually, coal and gas and oil are in a way, "bio-fuels." They are derived from living matter that has been grown using solar and geothermal energy, with help from the sea currents and the wind currents. Almost all the energy that we have ever used was the result of solar and geothermal energy.

    We have had to use the "inefficient" means (ie, coal, gas, oil) of capturing this energy because we didn't have the knowledge and technology to use the energy directly. We need to make big investments in "green" energy, just like we did with nuclear power.

    Countries and Mega-Corporations who try to hold onto the old ways are going to be left in the dust by the groups who invest in the new technologies. Imagine if we had refused to start using that radical new energy source, crude oil, and had insisted on sticking with Whale Oil--we would still be using horses and steam for transportation.

    The one argument that the free-marketeers always make is that capitalism leads to development, but it seems that it has been the "capitalists" who have been holding us back the last 50 years.

    • 3 votes
    #1.10 - Sun May 29, 2011 5:44 AM EDT
    Coral Atlas

    A good argument for putting the other 99.5% of natural energy too work!!!!! Compared to fossil fuels natures energy is infinite. Too bad our human minds are not being used to comprehend our own sheer ignorance of science and the truth about ourselves.

    The well of knowledge has been capped by those with the power and money. Knowledge is power and money is a ponzi scheme.

    • 3 votes
    #1.11 - Sun May 29, 2011 7:22 AM EDT
    SamC

    Chris-735, me thinks you posted a whole bunch of “nothings” in your attempt to criticize what tryusinglogic posted.

    • 1 vote
    #1.12 - Sun May 29, 2011 9:56 AM EDT
    SamC

    (#1.10) Countries and Mega-Corporations who try to hold onto the old ways are going to be left in the dust by the groups who invest in the new technologies. Imagine if we had refused to start using that radical new energy source, crude oil, and had insisted on sticking with Whale Oil--we would still be using horses and steam for transportation.

    eapeau, imagine what will happen iffen everyone “jumps on board” those blue sky dreams of the “greenies” and tries to ride them into the next century.

    HA, you will be praying for a team of horses to pull you through the dust of a collapsed economy.

    Do the math, eapeau, you don’t have enough real estate to produce sufficient “green energy” to supply the demands of the current population. And those demands are going to increase at least 40% over the next 50 years.

    And eapeau, your “green energy” is incapable of producing two (2) extremely important products that the population and the economy can’t survive without, …… aluminum and steel.

    Mimicry is not a substitute for abstract thinking.

    And mimicking piffle about "using logics" is not proof that one is capable of making logical choices or decisions. Memory recall of critical elements and associated data/info is a prerequesite for making logical choices or decisions.

    • 2 votes
    #1.13 - Sun May 29, 2011 11:02 AM EDT
    Roxanne2Sweet

    As conservatives like Koch, SamC & spaceguy love to point out, greatly increasing fossil fuel production/use isn't a problem.

    We have an estimated ten thousand years worth of coal still in the ground waiting to be exploited. The problem however is with the already well-documented gathering droughts, floods and accelerating ice sheet melt now occurring after just 2 centuries of intense fossil fuel combustion, our ten thousand year supply is also sufficient to destroy our civilization fifty times.

    http://www.scienceprogress.org/2010/11/a-stunning-year-in-climate-science-reveals-that-human-civilization-is-on-the-precipice/

    • 5 votes
    #1.14 - Sun May 29, 2011 11:18 PM EDT
    Roxanne2Sweet

    Spaceguy and SamC, I handpicked the following link just for you both, as the excerpt makes obvious. And seeing that you love highlights Sam, I highlighted it for you:

    "Over the past two or three years, the science of climate change has become a more widely contested issue in the public and political spheres. Climate science is now being debated outside of the normal discussion and debate that occurs within the peer-reviewed scientific literature in the normal course of research. It is being attacked in the media by many with no credentials in the field. The questioning of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the “climategate” incident based on hacked emails in the UK, and attempts to intimidate climate scientists have added to the confusion in the public about the veracity of climate science."

    We at Skeptical Science have documented many such attacks on climate science by individuals with no climate credentials, who misrepresent scientific research, and attempt to sow doubt in the minds of the general public through non-scientific issues like Climategate.

    http://www.skepticalscience.com/the-critical-decade-part-1-the-science.html

    • 4 votes
    #1.15 - Sun May 29, 2011 11:24 PM EDT
    Chris-735081

    Chris-735, me thinks you posted a whole bunch of “nothings” in your attempt to criticize what tryusinglogic posted.

    He didn't make a coherent argument in his article. If pointing out the the basis of what he said was rationally unfounded and filled with appeals to contempt for the opposing side.

    You may find pointing out where another person is making a fallacious argument contemptuous but I'm still correct. He never actually wrote anything substantive and was attempting to put forward an argument in entirely the wrong way if one is to be taken seriously.

    Insults, group think and appeals to the majority or popularity are NOT worthy of rebuttle except to point out where they are lacking in logical or reasonable foundations.

    If that's "nothing" to you, then I suggest you write your own article and make claims that cannot be countered without ever actually having to produce real data.

    If the seeder had put forward a well written piece and approached the discussion of the matter in a rational matter, then I wouldn't have to point out where his arguments are founded in irrational and otherwise toxic logic.

    I think that if a person is going to make a claim, especially a controversial claim about science, that claim should be reviewed in an academic manner.

    Let me ask you a question. I assume you went to college. If you were to submit a paper or article written with that kind of language and those kinds of fallacious logical appeals, what kind of grade do you think it would get? Unless it was purely a grammar class where content of what was written didn't matter, it wouldn't get a very good grade at all.

    It's divorced from science, it's illogical and it's filled with attempts to denegrate the opposition with both ad hominem attacks, bad rhetoric and sophistry without actually ever introducing an argument that is based on science. It's just a statistic without any supporting details and a faulty inference about what that statistic actually indicates.

    He has a conclusion without any supporting details. That is NOT science. How is that nothing?

    • 5 votes
    #1.16 - Sun May 29, 2011 11:52 PM EDT
    TryUsingLogic

    We at Skeptical Science have documented many such attacks on climate science

    Climate change is for real......but we can't cripple our prosperity and strengths to try and replace current energy forms with ones that will not do the job. The stronger we are the quicker we will arrive at workable solutions. Government can not legislate new energy forms!

    A free and strong America will find it through hard work and innovation.....not magic.

    It is one thing to recognize the depth of our problems, but entirely another to become weak because of impatience.......

      #1.17 - Mon May 30, 2011 12:03 AM EDT
      Roxanne2Sweet

      Efficiency could cut world energy use over 70 per cent

      http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn20037-efficiency-could-cut-world-energy-use-over-70-per-cent.html

      Our per capita carbon footprint is significantly greater than that of other wealthy industrialized nations.

      Thanks to the GOP and oil lobbyists, energy conservation are dirty words in America. We need to significantly slow our carbon pollution of the environment so we can solve our energy problems before we destroy ourselves. For example, its estimated that if all states implemented California's energy conservation standards, overnight we would reduce our national energy usage & bill by at least 20%.

      • 6 votes
      #1.18 - Mon May 30, 2011 12:18 AM EDT
      space guy

      This thread has nothing to do with climate change Roxanne, it has to do with the inanity that you can run a planetary civilization of 9 billion people with solar panels and wind turbines.

      Your new scientist article is rubbish.

      Changes to homes and buildings included triple-glazing windows and installing 300-millimetre-thick cavity wall insulation, using saucepan lids when cooking on the stove top, eliminating hot-water tanks and reducing the set temperature of washing machines and dishwashers. In transportation, the weight of cars was limited to 300 kilograms.

      When are you going to sell that BMW Roxanne?

      • 1 vote
      #1.19 - Mon May 30, 2011 3:15 AM EDT
      leeman1525

      Space guy

      The new scientist article is relevant. If energy demand is cut by 73 percent, it would take less green energy to power the planet. No one said we would power the planet with only solar panels and wind turbines, there is many more possibilities that need explored.

      • 2 votes
      #1.20 - Mon May 30, 2011 3:47 AM EDT
      Physicist-retired

      New energy sources will be found by free markets and capitalism......not Big Government demands!

      Well they're not doing it.

      And now, a leaked report by the International Energy Agency shows a record increase in CO2 emissions last year, and a clear indication that we are not going to be able to contain deadly levels of global warming without major governmental intervention:

      Greenhouse gas emissions increased by a record amount last year, to the highest carbon output in history, putting hopes of holding global warming to safe levels all but out of reach, according to unpublished estimates from the International Energy Agency.

      The shock rise means the goal of preventing a temperature rise of more than 2 degrees Celsius – which scientists say is the threshold for potentially "dangerous climate change" – is likely to be just "a nice Utopia", according to Fatih Birol, chief economist of the IEA. It also shows the most serious global recession for 80 years has had only a minimal effect on emissions, contrary to some predictions.

      Last year, a record 30.6 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide poured into the atmosphere, mainly from burning fossil fuel – a rise of 1.6Gt on 2009, according to estimates from the IEA regarded as the gold standard for emissions data.

      "I am very worried. This is the worst news on emissions," Birol told the Guardian. "It is becoming extremely challenging to remain below 2 degrees. The prospect is getting bleaker. That is what the numbers say."

      The IEA has calculated that if the world is to escape the most damaging effects of global warming, annual energy-related emissions should be no more than 32Gt by 2020. If this year's emissions rise by as much as they did in 2010, that limit will be exceeded nine years ahead of schedule, making it all but impossible to hold warming to a manageable degree.

      ..."Such warming would disrupt the lives and livelihoods of hundreds of millions of people across the planet, leading to widespread mass migration and conflict. That is a risk any sane person would seek to drastically reduce."

      Free markets don't care about this - they care about profits. Using a 'free market' approach to solve climate change is like applying a train's brakes when you see a car on the tracks ahead - it's far too late to fix the problem when climate change finally begins to really impact markets.

      As Roxanne's seeded article above states, it's difficult to believe that a technologically-advanced civilization would choose it's own extinction - but that's exactly what we are doing.

      • 5 votes
      #1.21 - Mon May 30, 2011 8:11 AM EDT
      TryUsingLogic

      Well they're not doing it.

      So far it has been too complex and far too costly to do it! The most profitable thing in our future will be the discovery of a way to provide cleaner energy for the masses. The greatest force for new discoveries is the profit and prosperity they bring! Any country or society that can mastermind new energies and will be the new world leaders. Energy is about power and profit....so get over it. Freedom and capitalism will find the new energy sources for the world and it is delusional not to see that! We can not bankrupt the world economies to find a mystical energy source that no one can define to replace the ones everyone desperately wants and needs! It will take patience to succeed, not green Utopian speeches.

        #1.22 - Mon May 30, 2011 8:44 AM EDT
        Physicist-retired

        Freedom and capitalism will find the new energy sources for the world and it is delusional not to see that!

        The 'delusion' lies in believing that capitalism will solve this problem.

        We already know that climate change is real, and that humans are the major factor causing it. What has Capitalism's response been? To buy politicians who deny basic science, and continue on a (very profitable) 'business as usual' model.

        You have too much faith in capitalism. Even Adam Smith recognized it's limits:

        As every individual, therefore, endeavours as much as he can both to employ his capital in the support of domestick industry, and so to direct that industry that its produce may be of the greatest value; every individual necessarily labours to render the annual revenue of the society as great as he can. He generally, indeed, neither intends to promote the public interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it. By preferring the support of domestiek to that of foreign industry, he intends only his own security; and by directing that industry in such a manner as its produce may be of the greatest value, he intends only his own gain

        An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations

        • 7 votes
        #1.23 - Mon May 30, 2011 9:02 AM EDT
        TryUsingLogic

        The 'delusion' lies in believing that capitalism will solve this problem.

        So do you have faith in Government organized control and socialism to solve our problems?

        The 'delusion' lies in believing that government will solve this problem.

        You have too little faith in free markets. History proves you wrong......

          #1.24 - Mon May 30, 2011 9:41 AM EDT
          Physicist-retired

          So do you have faith in Government organized control and socialism to solve our problems?

          Like most Americans, I support the ideals of Social Democracy.

          A popular talking point on the Right insists that all government is always bad. But the vast majority of Americans simply don't agree. Ask anyone about Medicare, Social Security, Medicaid, SCHIP, the VA, or a wealth of other successful government programs. People like them, and they work.

          Government has it's place, and history proves me correct - as Paul Ryan and the Republican/Tea Party are now learning.

          • 4 votes
          #1.25 - Mon May 30, 2011 9:59 AM EDT
          TryUsingLogic

          A popular talking point on the Right insists that all government is always bad.

          First of all....I'm in the center! Most people have become attached to Medicare, Social Security, Medicaid, SCHIP, the VA, or a list of other failed government programs without other choices and are extremely worried about their sustainablility.

          Government is necessary and should be responsible.....not Utopian.

          56.8% of people think country is not on a good path.....that's most people!

          http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html

            #1.26 - Mon May 30, 2011 10:48 AM EDT
            Physicist-retired

            Government is necessary and should be responsible

            Finally, something we agree on.

            So when the U.S. Department of Defense calls climate change a grave threat to our security and a 'threat multiplier', what is the proper role of government?

            “We will pay for this one way or another... We will pay to reduce greenhouse gas emissions today, and we’ll have to take an economic hit of some kind.

            Or we will pay the price later in military terms. And that will involve human lives.”

            Gen. Anthony C. Zinni

            • 4 votes
            #1.27 - Mon May 30, 2011 11:11 AM EDT
            SamC

            Roxanne, now why did you make 2 posts right after I dun got thru tellin you that …. “Mimicry is not a substitute for abstract thinking.”

            (#1.16 - Chris-735) He didn't make a coherent argument in his article.

            He never actually wrote anything substantive

            Chris-735, me thinks you should educate yourself on a subject before you claim the commentary is incoherent and/or without substance.

            I had no problem understanding what tryusinglogic posted.

            (#1.16) You may find pointing out where another person is making a fallacious argument contemptuous He never actually wrote anything substantive and was attempting to put forward an argument in entirely the wrong way if one is to be taken seriously. Insults, group think and appeals to the majority or popularity are NOT worthy of rebuttle except to point out where they are lacking in logical or reasonable foundations. If that's "nothing" to you, then I suggest you write your own article and make claims that cannot be countered without ever actually having to produce real data. If the seeder had put forward a well written piece and approached the discussion of the matter in a rational matter, then I wouldn't have to point out where his arguments are founded in irrational and otherwise toxic logic. I think that if a person is going to make a claim, especially a controversial claim about science, that claim should be reviewed in an academic manner.

            YADA, …. YADA, ….. YADA, ……. Chris-735, that piffle reads like you were practicing for your Child Psychiatry 101 Exam. Mimicking all that crapolla and blowing it out as a “smokescreen” doesn’t impress me in the least. HA, I smoke bout 2 packs of cigs every day and don’t have a problem “seeing thru” that kinda smoke.

            (#1.16) Let me ask you a question. I assume you went to college. If you were to submit a paper or article written with that kind of language and those kinds of fallacious logical appeals, what kind of grade do you think it would get? Unless it was purely a grammar class where content of what was written didn't matter, it wouldn't get a very good grade at all.

            “Yes”, I graduated from college ……. with an AB in Physical and Biological Science.

            And Chris-735, iffen I re-enrolled in either High School or College today, and submitted a paper on “The False Claims and Beliefs Concerning CO2 Caused Anthropogenic Global Warming” that was expertly written and included all the actual, factual Scientific data, evidence and proofs, …. including all necessary mathematical calculations and all logical, reasonable, associateable commentary, references, citations, etc. …. to prove and justify my claims of falsity, …….. you, Chris-735, could pretty much bet your arse that it would receive a Grade of “F” or ZERO …… because those lefty liberal “greenthinking” Teachers and Professors don’t like for anyone to be badmouthing “CO2 Caused AGW”.

            (#1.16) It's divorced from science, it's illogical and it's filled with attempts to denegrate the opposition with both ad hominem attacks, bad rhetoric and sophistry without actually ever introducing an argument that is based on science. It's just a statistic without any supporting details and a faulty inference about what that statistic actually indicates.

            He has a conclusion without any supporting details. That is NOT science. How is that nothing?

            YADA, …. YADA, ….. YADA, …….again. Save that “smoke” for someone you can impress.

            Chris-735, iffen you were learned in Science and/or familiar with all the facts, figures, criteria, etc. being discussed relative to AGW then you would know about those “supporting details”.

            And Christ, one can not write and post a complete manuscript for the “clueless” to be reading ….. every time one make a post to NewsVine.

              #1.28 - Mon May 30, 2011 2:49 PM EDT
              SamC

              (#1.20) The new scientist article is relevant. If energy demand is cut by 73 percent, it would take less green energy to power the planet. No one said we would power the planet with only solar panels and wind turbines, there is many more possibilities that need explored.

              “YES”, …. leeman1525, …. and iffen a hoppity toad sprouted wings then it wouldn’t be bumping its arse on the ground every time it hopped.

              Killing off 73 percent of the population is a possibility that would probably work.

              ========================

              (#1.21 - Physicist-retired) And now, a leaked report by the International Energy Agency shows a record increase in CO2 emissions last year, and a clear indication that we are not going to be able to contain deadly levels of global warming without major governmental intervention:

              (quoted article) Greenhouse gas emissions increased by a record amount last year, to the highest carbon output in history, putting hopes of holding global warming to safe levels all but out of reach, according to unpublished estimates from the International Energy Agency.

              Last year, a record 30.6 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide poured into the atmosphere, mainly from burning fossil fuel – a rise of 1.6Gt on 2009, according to estimates from the IEA regarded as the gold standard for emissions data.

              OH GOOD GRIEF, …… the 2010 Mona Loa atmospheric CO2 data … DISPROVES that silly arsed claim of a record 30.6 gigatonnes of CO2.

              Atmospheric CO2 has been increasing at the same steady and consistant rate of ..... "1 to 2 ppm/year" .... for the past 54 years.

                #1.29 - Mon May 30, 2011 3:42 PM EDT
                Physicist-retired

                Hey, Sam

                Happy Memorial Day.

                • 1 vote
                #1.30 - Mon May 30, 2011 4:38 PM EDT
                space guy

                The new scientist article is relevant. If energy demand is cut by 73 percent, it would take less green energy to power the planet. No one said we would power the planet with only solar panels and wind turbines, there is many more possibilities that need explored.

                Not going to happen. The cuts that they claim are necessary are simply not required. We want a prosperous planetary civilization, not a weak and pathetic, energy poor one.

                • 2 votes
                #1.31 - Mon May 30, 2011 7:06 PM EDT
                TryUsingLogic

                space guy

                Thanks for posting on this thread!

                  #1.32 - Mon May 30, 2011 7:31 PM EDT
                  leeman1525

                  Space guy

                  We would will have a "prosperous planetary civilization". The savings would NOT have negative effect the quality life, it would improve it. With cleaner air from reduced smog forming emissions.

                  SamC

                  Killing 73 percent of the worlds population is not the answer. Reducing energy consumption, without negatively affecting quality of life is. Look what happened in California, it was able to cut energy at data-centers with no negative affects.

                  http://tinyurl.com/3jx66jp

                  • 2 votes
                  #1.33 - Mon May 30, 2011 7:48 PM EDT
                  Roxanne2Sweet

                  Spaceguy,

                  Unlike the GOP and TP, I'm all for ever-increasing vehicle mileage standards on all the cars my parents can go out and buy and which I subsequently borrow, hydrogen-powered autos R&D, hybrids & all-electrics like the Chevy Volt, urban and cross country high speed rail, cycle paths within cities, a carbon tax, etc.

                  We need to neuter KochPAC and the GOTP so that I can happily have all of the above choices.

                  And as for this seed "not being about climate change", give me a break. This seed is championing "drill baby, drill" and a mass extinction event of human civilization & living species.

                  Every science organization on the face of the planet agree with with my analysis, and not with you and Sam.

                  So if you want to prove us wrong then cough up the Paper you promised years ago that in your words "will debunk AGW science."

                  Your debunking science Paper, just like the attacks on the Hockey Stick, will forever remain a fable exactly similar to the Birthers' nonsense.

                  • 6 votes
                  #1.34 - Mon May 30, 2011 9:41 PM EDT
                  TryUsingLogic

                  Unlike the GOP and TP, I'm all for ever-increasing vehicle mileage standards on all the cars my parents can go out and buy and which I subsequently borrow

                  I have not met anyone who is not for increased mileage standards, more affordable fuel and cleaner energy. The same people that dream of Utopian perfect societies are all those promoters of "a green tomorrow" and declare to hell with the 99.5% of energies that keep society going. Having big dreams and convictions about a perfect energy source is as delusional as thinking there will be world peace and we will all hold hands in total bliss! We will find new energy sources and things will get better on earth.....but it will not come from the environmentalists and Obama declaring it will be so as an overnight supernatural event.

                  The hunt for energy is like a religion to the Left and environmentalist groups. They know their Energy God is out there somewhere...even though they deny all existing reality and can't validate their Energy God's existence.

                  Free Market innovation will find useful new energies....because it will be profitable to do so! The greatest positive changes during mankind's existence have come from Democracy, Capitalism and the freedom to dream!

                    #1.35 - Mon May 30, 2011 10:28 PM EDT
                    Roxanne2Sweet

                    Oh? So NASA, NOAA, every leading university science department around the world, coupled with every science organization that exists, are all "utopian dreamers"?

                    I'm simply repeating what 97% of climate scientists = the only qualified scientists on climate, are saying as regards excessive greenhouse gas pollution. Ghg pollution that to this day the Free Market has not rescued us from.

                    Pollution is pollution, whether it be chlorofluorocarbons destroying the ozone layer, DDT destroying birds' eggs, asbestos, 2nd hand tobacco smoke, and lead in gasolene stunting our kids' growth; or over 30 gigatonnes each year of CO2 pollution melting all our ice sheets and destroying world agriculture with extreme weather.

                    In every single example of past & deadly pollution that I just listed, it wasn't the Free Market that saved our behinds.

                    It was government coming to our rescue by regulating the pollution before it killed us and our environment. Except for our current flirtation with pollution-triggered global warming that is; the jury is still out on whether the GOP will finally do their job and rescue America.

                    • 5 votes
                    #1.36 - Mon May 30, 2011 11:22 PM EDT
                    markpup

                    roxanne2sweet - back when I was younger many years ago, we called it clean air and clean water. That's because having clean air and clean water was something we all want and need - and it's good public policy.

                    The business right got handed a gold mine when they got the "global warming" issue because they can scam it as a hoax and throw out the need to have clean air and water along with it. I would contend even if it is a hoax which of course it's not, we still want clean air and clean water. If we focus on that, we can't go wrong we'll get that and get global warming more under control.

                    Pollution is pollution - yes thank God a bit of common sense prevails here in 2011.

                    • 5 votes
                    #1.37 - Mon May 30, 2011 11:26 PM EDT
                    Roxanne2Sweet

                    Thanks Mark. And I completely agree.

                    • 4 votes
                    #1.38 - Tue May 31, 2011 12:10 AM EDT
                    TryUsingLogic

                    Roxanne2Sweet and markpup

                    For you green dreamers......this is the kind of problem we face by trying to switch immediately to energy sources that are not doing the job yet...and penalizing companies that need them!

                    http://chloe.burachura.info/uncategorized/environmental-tax-threatens-green-energy-research-in-uk.html

                    When a clean energy research company can't pay the tax penalties to conitue to do its research......you are throwing the baby out with the bathwater!

                    The Left and evionmentalists do not understand any part of "reason!"

                    We desparately need the existing energies as stepping stones to better energies.......

                      #1.39 - Tue May 31, 2011 9:10 AM EDT
                      markpup

                      This little sub-thread wasn't that much about alternative energies it was about clean air and clean water. We have a lot we can do along that line with existing technologies - scrubbers for coal fired plants and such things.

                      One thing I agree with you though is when the more traditional energy companies "reach out" to environmentalists they get their ass chewed out. Too many ex-hippies I'm guessing.

                        #1.40 - Tue May 31, 2011 3:15 PM EDT
                        SamC

                        (#1.36) I'm simply repeating what 97% of climate scientists = the only qualified scientists on climate, are saying as regards excessive greenhouse gas pollution.

                        Then Roxanne, you are simply repeating a blatantly false statement ……. because those 97% of climate scientists are repeating the blatantly false statement made by the International Energy Agency when they made the claim that:

                        “Last year, a record 30.6 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide poured into the atmosphere, mainly from burning fossil fuel”.

                        And Roxanne, you know what one is commonly called when they knowingly repeat a blatantly false statement, don’tja?

                        So now that you know that statement is blatantly false then best you think about the consequences before you repeat it.

                          #1.41 - Tue May 31, 2011 5:08 PM EDT
                          Reply
                          leeman1525

                          You need to look at future trends. Wind is growing at 30 percent annually. The technology is just starting to take off the numbers will grow once they start building more off shore wind farms. Even China knows that renewable energy is the future, they have been investing tremendous amounts of money. They have already passed us by.

                          • 9 votes
                          Reply#2 - Sat May 28, 2011 10:15 PM EDT
                          SamC

                          And will all those wind turbines ...... be hurricane and tornado "proof"?

                          • 2 votes
                          #2.1 - Sun May 29, 2011 11:05 AM EDT
                          leeman1525

                          It is imposable to make something completely tornado proof, but The industrial turbines (1.5MW) are built to withstand winds >150mph. They are anchored in a concrete foundation to a depth of 2 meters and the tower is made of 2" thick steel. The total weight of the turbine is 205 tons. Some of the smaller home turbines have been involved in tornadoes with only minor damage occurring. It the wind is above 150 the turbine have a safety feature that would prevent the blades from spinning out of control.

                          • 3 votes
                          #2.2 - Sun May 29, 2011 4:37 PM EDT
                          SamC

                          That safety feature wouldn't prevent those blades from being wrapped around that tower so tight you couldn't pry them loose.

                          • 1 vote
                          #2.3 - Mon May 30, 2011 3:54 PM EDT
                          Reply
                          Texasguy01

                          We already have the technolgy and 7% of our electricity comes from it. Hydroelectric power is proven, effective, realistic and completely ignored by the Obama administration.

                          • 3 votes
                          Reply#3 - Sat May 28, 2011 10:19 PM EDT
                          Lukepccpa

                          Unfortunately, hydroelectric power is a nonstarter with the current regulations regarding the environment and endangered species.

                          The Hoover Dam probably couldn't be built today given the current regulations.

                          • 4 votes
                          #3.1 - Sat May 28, 2011 10:36 PM EDT
                          Texasguy01

                          That is exactly the hypocrisy of the Obama administration. He will preach green energy but apparently only on products from GE and not proven sources. He is a charlatan on the subject of green energy and a liar. He needs to be called out on it.

                          • 2 votes
                          #3.2 - Sat May 28, 2011 10:42 PM EDT
                          leeman1525

                          Texasguy01

                          You can generate energy without killing many endangered animals in the process.

                          • 5 votes
                          #3.3 - Sat May 28, 2011 10:46 PM EDT
                          Lukepccpa

                          You can generate energy without killing many endangered animals in the process.

                          Do you think the Hoover Dam could be built today? Remember the snail darter controversy and the Tellico Dam back in the 70's?

                          Even wind power is not immune to the attacks from environmentalists, who charge that windmills kill too many birds and alter migration paths.

                          Every source of power has a trade off. It is just a case of what trade offs we are willing to live with.

                          • 4 votes
                          #3.4 - Sat May 28, 2011 11:36 PM EDT
                          JackOL-1666973

                          Do you think the Hoover Dam could be built today?

                          ...and we attribute that to Pres. Obama?

                          • 5 votes
                          #3.5 - Sun May 29, 2011 1:46 AM EDT
                          Rainbow Warrior

                          There is this thing called water rights and property rights. I can tell you all don't live out West, or you would understand how complex water issues are! Like so many energy/environmental issues it all sounds great until they want to build it in your back yard.

                          So Texasguy01, want to donate your land or maybe have it taken by eminent domain for a hydro project? Yeah, I thought so... The appropriate metaphor I think should be "shallow pond".

                          What a wimpy chicken @!$%# cheap shot to always blame an environmentalist or an endangered species.

                          • 6 votes
                          #3.6 - Sun May 29, 2011 11:00 AM EDT
                          Reply
                          Nightbreeeze

                          New energy sources will be found by free markets and capitalism......not Big Government demands!

                          In the United States maybe, but not elsewhere in the world. This is not an impossibilty as you imply, it is merely restricted by the limitations of our government.

                          For example, Japan had been planning to construct another 14 reactors to add to the 54 it already has (or had until the earthquake and tsunami damaged several). Their plan was to supply 50% of their power by nuclear reactors. This plan had to be scrapped after the recent disaster. They have now announced that a new formal government policy is being formed, one that will rely upon renewable energy sources. If Japan can do it, so can any industrial nation with the specialized resources necessary to conduct extensive electronics research and development. This is a plan that was verbalized by this administration, but in the US, companies lobby intensely to prevent any government interference, so any policy formulated by an administration is doomed to failure anyway; big oil has a stranglehold on our economy. They pull the strings on our leaders and call the tune. A shame really. This could have been America's big chance to become the world leader in renewable energy solutions - we could have ultimately put huge numbers of people back to work and exported the technology all over the world.

                          http://pubs.acs.org/cen/news/89/i21/8921notw2.html

                          • 5 votes
                          Reply#4 - Sat May 28, 2011 10:29 PM EDT
                          TryUsingLogic

                          You need to look at future trends. Wind is growing at 30 percent annually

                          If Japan can do it, so can any industrial nation with the specialized resources necessary to conduct extensive electronics research and development

                          You can both dream of "Green" but reality does not match the dream. Read Ridley's article again.

                            #4.1 - Sat May 28, 2011 10:32 PM EDT
                            Nightbreeeze

                            Hmmm, I've read it twice. There is nothing there to change my position that I can see, so I am afraid I must respectfully disagree with your statement, sir. Thank you for the seed, though!

                            • 2 votes
                            #4.2 - Sat May 28, 2011 10:49 PM EDT
                            TryUsingLogic

                            There is nothing there to change my position that I can see, so I am afraid I must respectfully disagree with your statement

                            An example of two people seeing the same thing and having different interpretations.....

                            Thanks

                              #4.3 - Sat May 28, 2011 10:53 PM EDT
                              Reply
                              Matt Rock

                              Back in the dark ages, 99.5% of medicine involved bleeding a person to near death in the hopes of evacuating illness. Darn liberals and their science!

                              Seriously, that argument doesn't hold water for me. "We can't change, because that would require changing!" You don't have to agree with me that the Earth is in trouble. Science disagrees with you, but whatever, to each their own. But you can't disagree with all of the legions of businesses out there that have gone green and have reaped the rewards of tremendous financial gain via using energy more efficiently. And if you've ever driven down I-90 through Wyoming as I did once, or if you live in an urban area and have ever stood near a city bus, then you can literally smell a million and one reasons why green energy policy is better than the status quo. The world is going green, and by the end of this century, we'll all be looking at oil and coal the same way we look at bleeding illness out of sick people today. It's happening either way.

                              • 13 votes
                              Reply#5 - Sat May 28, 2011 11:38 PM EDT
                              Abby.

                              Well said, Matt.

                              • 3 votes
                              #5.1 - Sun May 29, 2011 2:48 AM EDT
                              leeman1525

                              The best way i have ever heard it explained.

                              • 3 votes
                              #5.2 - Sun May 29, 2011 3:19 AM EDT
                              TryUsingLogic

                              The world is going green, and by the end of this century, we'll all be looking at oil and coal the same way we look at bleeding illness out of sick people today. It's happening either way.

                              At this point that is your opinion......there are many obstacles to overcome to go Green!

                              In the meantime we need to use the dependable world energy sources more wisely and become more energy independent!

                              Everything we use has components of oil in it, what green energy source will replace those massive needs?

                              Oil is not going away......reliable alternatives will come with time and free market research.

                                #5.3 - Sun May 29, 2011 10:06 AM EDT
                                Matt Rock

                                Everything we use has components of oil in it, what green energy source will replace those massive needs?

                                Corn. You can make plastics, lubricant, diesel fuel, textiles... you can make practically everything produced with petroleum using corn. Though that's a tragically moot point. The argument for going green isn't that we need to stop using petroleum for everything. It's that we need to stop using petroleum for energy, because it's dirty, our supplies are limited, it's an unstable commodity, and production is hazardous.

                                Oil won't go away because of free market research, as you put it, because the free market (A) isn't free, and (B) has no interest in undermining profit margins to save the planet. Exxon-Mobil looks at hydrogen fuel and weeps (we could use their tears as fuel, how about that?). Right now, you can pull up to one of the outstandingly rare hydrogen fueling stations and buy a gallon of fuel for your hydrogen vehicle for $1.10 to $1.85. How much did you pay for your last gallon of gasoline? The free market will have no interest in investing in green fuels until there isn't any oil left. Markets aren't the solution to everything, and in some cases, they're counter-productive to said solution.

                                The green train is coming, powered by alternative energy. You can hop on board or get off the tracks.

                                • 3 votes
                                #5.4 - Sun May 29, 2011 11:59 PM EDT
                                TryUsingLogic

                                The green train is coming, powered by alternative energy. You can hop on board or get off the tracks.

                                To improve the .5% of green energies to a point to replace the 99.5% of existing energy choices will not come by holding hands and singing green songs. Your train will have to run on oil/coal or nuclear until the problem is solved. If you can' see that get ready to push your train don the track with elbow grease.

                                We still have a barrier to cross called reality! Dream on!

                                  #5.5 - Mon May 30, 2011 12:12 AM EDT
                                  Matt Rock

                                  Exactly why we need to extend a finger to the private sector rather than a hand, and use tax incentives and subsidies to make radical changes to our energy infrastructure, starting today. If we rely solely on the free market to solve this problem, guess where we'll be in 20 years? Exactly where we are now. Many companies, like Fedex and HP, have gone green to save money, and car companies are selling electric and hydrogen cars, but with limited infrastructure, their efforts have been minute by force. The free markets are useless on this one. We need to call in the big guns and initiate change through government, GOP rhetoric be darned.

                                  • 2 votes
                                  #5.6 - Mon May 30, 2011 9:34 AM EDT
                                  TryUsingLogic

                                  The free markets are useless on this one

                                  Would you please give me a list of efficient and secure programs managed by our government.

                                  For instance....Government is attempting to manage job growth, USPS, Social Security, Welfare, Health care, etc..etc... and our debts are larger than ever and our future is not looking good! Hey....regardless of ineptness....let's trust them to manage energy problems! Oh, and Big Government.......no corruption there....like in the evil business world!

                                  Give me a break!

                                    #5.7 - Mon May 30, 2011 9:55 AM EDT
                                    Matt Rock

                                    The USPS can get a letter from New York to Los Angeles in one day for less than a dollar. I'd call that pretty freaking efficient. Social Security would be fine if Republicans would stop borrowing money from it. Welfare is remarkably successful with a VERY small percentage of abusers (and that's mostly a local and state issue, not a Federal one). And the 36 nations that are beating and humiliating us in health care... most of those have evil pinko socialist systems, gasp!

                                    The government is good at certain things, the markets are good at certain things. I don't want the market deciding our energy future any more than I want the government assigning us housing.

                                    • 2 votes
                                    #5.8 - Mon May 30, 2011 11:05 AM EDT
                                    TryUsingLogic

                                    The USPS can get a letter from New York to Los Angeles in one day for less than a dollar.

                                    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2011/05/12/quarterly-loss-postal-service-licks-wounds/

                                    You don't want them to do housing but probably like them doing health care...right?

                                      #5.9 - Mon May 30, 2011 11:30 AM EDT
                                      Matt Rock

                                      Linking to Fox News isn't exactly going to woo me, lol. I'm that evil, godless, commie liberal Glenn Beck and Ann Coulter warned you about, lol :)

                                      You don't want them to do housing but probably like them doing health care...right?

                                      Absolutely. No contest, actually. A market incentive shouldn't be placed on illness. When companies look to turn a profit off of your personal health, we all lose. We don't turn to the markets to protect us in any other way. We don't have for-profit police, or for-profit fire departments, or for-profit armies (well, we do, but that's a rant for another day). Health shouldn't be treated as a commodity, and no free or civilized nation would stand by idly while civlians die in the name of profit margins. It's despicable, the people who endorse the system are just as bad, and when the American empire collapses, this is going to be one of the key culprits, mark my words.

                                      Phew, okay, rant over. Sorry for letting the conversaiton get derailed. But back to the point, that's a two way street. The private sector is good at providing food, and housing, and clothing, because those are fields where options must be present for free society. Granted, those markets don't always work to the advantage of consumers, particularly in housing, but government would be terrible at providing those things, because the right of choice is what makes the markets so ideal. The government isn't picking where I live, I am. The government isn't telling me what clothes to wear or to buy, that's up to me.

                                      But there is no choice in health care: it's either all-encompassing, covering everyone and everything, or it's an utter failure anchoring our nation in disease and depravity. Health care should be free for all... a right by the same degree as police stopping criminals or fire fighters extinguishing your house. There are no product variations... it either works and covers everyone, or it fails like the current system.

                                      • 2 votes
                                      #5.10 - Mon May 30, 2011 12:01 PM EDT
                                      SamC

                                      (#5.6) Exactly why we need to extend a finger to the private sector rather than a hand, and use tax incentives and subsidies to make radical changes to our energy infrastructure, starting today. The free markets are useless on this one. We need to call in the big guns and initiate change through government,

                                      The Department of Energy was instituted on 8/04/1977,

                                      TO LESSEN OUR DEPENDENCE ON FOREIGN OIL.

                                      Hey, pretty efficient, huh???

                                      AND NOW IT'S 2010 -- 33 YEARS LATER -- AND THE BUDGET FOR THIS "NECESSARY" DEPARTMENT IS AT $24.2 BILLION A YEAR.

                                      IT HAS 16,000 FEDERAL EMPLOYEES AND APPROXIMATELY 100,000 CONTRACT EMPLOYEES; AND LOOK AT THE JOB IT HAS DONE!

                                      (THIS IS WHERE YOU SLAP YOUR FOREHEAD AND SAY, "WHAT WERE THEY THINKING?"

                                      33 years ago 30% of our oil consumption was foreign imports. Today 70% of our oil consumption is foreign imports.

                                      Ah, yes -- good old Federal bureaucracy.

                                      • 1 vote
                                      #5.11 - Mon May 30, 2011 4:35 PM EDT
                                      Reply
                                      markpup

                                      I would say a very large part of the initiative of "green" technology is to get better, cleaner, and more safe output from coal, gas, nuclear and oil.

                                      One of our problems in America is we waste a lot of energy advances in insulation and more efficient appliances also helps - it would be better if industry is being held to a strong standard to comply with more energy efficient guidelines so far they've been able to bribe their way out of it.

                                      Plus why is being dependent on OPEC for over half our energy - and having to live with the dangers of nuclear for the rest of it cool? It's not. We are working all over the world on advances in energy technology and any chance we have of a breakthrough is welcome. On the scientific front - the Bloom cells, research on cold fusion with deuterium, a new solar cell that can hold more than 15 times more energy than a conventional cell all these things are welcome. Any investment to increase our chances of getting a fundamental new energy technology and implement it would be obviously worth doing.

                                      • 2 votes
                                      Reply#6 - Sun May 29, 2011 12:45 AM EDT
                                      Colorado Bob

                                      It is similar to someone saying there is a water shortage, so tomorrow let's stop using water and find a replacement!

                                      It hasn't rained in Houston in over 3 and a half months, and it was 115F degrees in Texas today we'll see what they do .

                                      • 4 votes
                                      Reply#7 - Sun May 29, 2011 3:22 AM EDT
                                      Colorado Bob

                                      >Germany has had twice as many hours of sunshine as it would normally expect in the spring. Some German regions have had just 5 per cent of their standard rainfall. "We desperately need rain," said Andrea Adams, spokeswoman for the Farmers Association, in Rhineland-Palatinate.

                                      China's "land of fish and rice" has seen its lowest levels of rainfall since 1910, according to the official. Further, as of Monday, 13 of Hunan's 14 major cities have been affected by the drought, the official said.

                                      Shanghai is also experiencing its longest period of no precipitation in 138 years, having received only 132.9 mm of rainfall since the beginning of this year, the lowest level since 1873, according to a report released on Monday by the Shanghai Municipal Meteorological Bureau.

                                      http://redwolf.newsvine.com/_news/2011/05/30/6746647-leaked-report-shows-record-carbon-emissions?threadId=3139349&commentId=54616017#c54616017

                                      • 2 votes
                                      #7.1 - Mon May 30, 2011 1:12 PM EDT
                                      Colorado Bob

                                      How hot is it in Texas ? The last 3 days -
                                      146 stations have reported 100F or higher, 16 of these reported 110F or higher.

                                      Texas will report over 6 Billion Dollars in crop losses this week .

                                      • 2 votes
                                      #7.2 - Mon May 30, 2011 1:13 PM EDT
                                      Colorado Bob

                                      By 2200, around two-thirds of the world's permafrost will have melted, unleashing close to 200 billion tons of carbon dioxide and methane into the atmosphere - a process which cannot be reversed.

                                      This does not include the methane hydrates in the oceans.

                                      Highest greenhouse gas emissions in history push global warming towards 'dangerous' levels

                                      http://coloradobob1.newsvine.com/_news/2011/05/30/6748559-highest-greenhouse-gas-emissions-in-history-push-global-warming-towards-dangerous-levels-mail-online

                                      • 2 votes
                                      #7.3 - Mon May 30, 2011 1:16 PM EDT
                                      space guy

                                      By 2200, around two-thirds of the world's permafrost will have melted, unleashing close to 200 billion tons of carbon dioxide and methane into the atmosphere - a process which cannot be reversed.

                                      Anyone who claims that they can project climate 2 centuries in the future, based upon current conditions is immediately to not be regarded as serious.


                                      • 3 votes
                                      #7.4 - Mon May 30, 2011 7:08 PM EDT
                                      Colorado Bob

                                      2200 is 89 years , not 2 centuries .

                                      If you add and subtract you can't seriously

                                      • 1 vote
                                      #7.5 - Tue May 31, 2011 12:33 PM EDT
                                      space guy

                                      2200 is 89 years , not 2 centuries .

                                      this is 2011

                                      2200-2011 is 189 years.

                                      Simple math

                                      • 2 votes
                                      #7.6 - Tue May 31, 2011 12:35 PM EDT
                                      Colorado Bob

                                      Too much coffee.

                                      • 1 vote
                                      #7.7 - Tue May 31, 2011 12:45 PM EDT
                                      space guy

                                      Too much coffee.

                                      Yep, it happens. No one is perfect here.

                                      :)

                                      • 2 votes
                                      #7.8 - Tue May 31, 2011 1:00 PM EDT
                                      Reply
                                      MLCook

                                      Japan may be "planning" to use a lot of green energy eventually to replace nuclear, but eventually they have to price that out per kilowatt and then it is going to occur to them that all the Fukushima reactors came through the earthquake just fine, it was the not-brilliant idea of putting them at the edge of the ocean behind a low sea wall that caused the problem.

                                      Japan is really too far north for efficient solar power. Do you realize how many windmills it will take just to replace the four destroyed nuclear reactors generating ability 24/7 for 12 months per year? We are talking a significant change of landscape and noise production. Tidal generators might work well but would also be vulnerable to tsunamis and may interfere with the fishing industry.

                                      In the meantime, Japan is presently replacing most of the electrical generation capacity now off-line because of the nukes being down with emergency orders of CNG from Russia. I am betting that compressed natural gas is going to be the real long-term replacement for the kilowatts lost to the earthquake disaster because Canadian competition will force the Russians to keep their pricing reasonable.

                                      CNG electricity generation is the quick and easy solution for many governments because the plants and equipment don't cost much to build or maintain, are relatively non-polluting, don't take a lot of water, have a small acreage footprint, are quiet, are dependable once they go on-line, and provide flexible surge capacity.

                                      Presently the emergency solution, CNG is going to be hard for cash strapped Japan to wean itself away from.

                                      • 3 votes
                                      Reply#8 - Sun May 29, 2011 5:26 AM EDT
                                      fuzzy mathematician

                                      It may not be possible for a densely populated island nation like Japan to get away from fossil fuels and nuclear entirely, but it is still good for them to make every effort to increase their solar, wind, and oceanic generation. They could set an example of just how much can be done with apparently limited space. In the mean time, safer reactor design and siting could come into the picture to the extent that nuclear is still needed.

                                      My general impression is that they are never going to get to those goals with existing technologies and other constraints, but it will take enough time anyway even with a concerted effort that better technologies will be ready later. So I suggest looking at CNG as a bridge, albeit a possibly long bridge, that does not negate the worth of substantially increasing renewables, but that will be part of the long transition. Energy and climate issues will be the definitive global challenge of the 21st century -- the entire 21st century. I predict people will look back in 80 years and think, "they actually thought a few religious fanatic terrorists were their biggest problem?"

                                      • 2 votes
                                      #8.1 - Sun May 29, 2011 5:48 AM EDT
                                      Patriot Tom-548724

                                      What alarms me the most about Japanese nuclear is that they had chosen to use untrained, extremely low end temp workers! This is a classic example of what happens without regulations and regulators to monitor an industry as hazardous as nuclear! Businesses will always try to cut costs and shave corners.

                                      If you want nuclear, and if you want few or no Chernobyls and Fukishimas, you need to demand ongoing, independent regulation and monitoring. Japan's nuclear industry and government are entirely too cozy.

                                      But of course that could never happen in the US!!

                                      • 2 votes
                                      #8.2 - Sun May 29, 2011 7:46 AM EDT
                                      Physicist-retired

                                      MLCook,

                                      all the Fukushima reactors came through the earthquake just fine, it was the not-brilliant idea of putting them at the edge of the ocean behind a low sea wall that caused the problem.

                                      I'm not at all sure that you can state that as fact. I've followed this disaster very closely, and there are many signs of debilitating earthquake damage prior to the tsunami (which hit about 45 minutes after the quake). For example:

                                      • sudden loss of pressure in reactor 1, recorded within minutes of the quake
                                      • failure of venting systems at reactors #2 and #3, resulting in the disastrous hydrogen explosions we saw (the manual controls for the venting system at #1 could not be approached due to extremely high levels of radioactivity, so we don't know if they also failed)
                                      • damaged/broken pipes and pipe connections inside reactor buildings, at heights that were not reached by the tsunami
                                      • sensors that recorded high levels of radiation at the plant prior to the tsunami
                                      • cracks in containment vessels - the last line of defense after a meltdown
                                      • cracks in sub-basements and trenches, allowing highly-contaminated water to flow into the ocean

                                      Those are just a few pieces of evidence that the 9.0 earthquake (which BTW was 30 times bigger than the Fukushima reactors were built to withstand) may have caused major damage - and that the earthquake damage was partially masked by the arrival of the tsunami. We'll know much more when we can eventually get inside and take a good look.

                                      As for the wisdom of placing nuclear power plants near the ocean, Japan really doesn't have much of a choice in the matter. Nuclear power plants require huge amounts of water. But most of the rivers in Honshu (Japan's main island, where both Tokyo and Fukushima are located) are short and small, and are already being used to feed numerous hydroelectric plants.

                                      I think you are correct on this - the seawalls were insufficient to protect the Fukushima site, and Japan should have known better. They've had tsunamis as high as 125 feet in that area (1896).

                                      • 5 votes
                                      #8.3 - Sun May 29, 2011 4:34 PM EDT
                                      Reply
                                      Beckyal

                                      My wish is that all those that believe we should stop using bio-fuels, stop using them. It would leave more for us and they would find that they could not exist off of non-bio-fuel energy. No food, it takes gas to transport; no transportation, even electrical cars use bio-fuels as most of the source of electicity; no AC, most electricity is produced using coal and bio-fuels. Anyway, people should get the point. Rising prices are due to non-production of coal and bio-fuels. Thank you all you liberals and where do I send my bills to so you can pay them since this is your mess. I earn too much for the government to pay and I pay your bills so you should have to pay mine since you think less production is a good idea. People who believe should pay. Not those of us who know better.

                                      • 1 vote
                                      Reply#9 - Sun May 29, 2011 7:11 AM EDT
                                      Coral Atlas

                                      Someone may have made this simple point already ... but clearly the clean energy that we are not utilizing ai 100% minus .5% or 99.5%

                                      It would safe to say as well ... that natures energy is infinite .... there is no such thing as an F5 tornado .... and there is no limit on how much more devastating nature can be than it was in Joplin or japan.

                                      The naivety of many educated humans is frightening when it comes to understanding our place in the hierarchy of life.

                                      Our minds are capable of accomplishing something ..... instead we use them to indulge our selves with delusions of grandeur.

                                      We are all simpletons .... and we humans render ourselves mindless ...... like a glass without water ..... and a night with no day to follow.

                                      The outlook for humanity is bleak given the number of humans who want us all to live for the moment rather than for our species to succeed in working with that which controls our lives.

                                      Nature.

                                      The type of thinking encouraged by supply and demand economics driven by profit and want and by waste and pollution is devastating.

                                      Humans are number one on the endangered species list. Too bad we keep the list!

                                      • 3 votes
                                      Reply#10 - Sun May 29, 2011 7:12 AM EDT
                                      Patriot Tom-548724

                                      Once, not so long ago, 99.5% of our lighting was supplied by whale oil. Therefore, the oil industry should never have been developed.

                                      • 4 votes
                                      Reply#11 - Sun May 29, 2011 7:47 AM EDT
                                      Coral Atlas

                                      speaking of whales .. yet another example of how stupid humanity is ... we are destroying them along with everything else on earth including ourselves

                                      We are always a million steps behind nature when it comes to doing what works best .... we need only let nature take the lead and concentrate on science which is the language of nature. Instead all we can do is live fictional lives and die.

                                      The knowledge we didn't have a thousand years ago or will still not have a thousand years from now exists and is infinite ... our minds should concentrate on finding that knowledge instead of self-indulgence and self-destruction.

                                      • 3 votes
                                      #11.1 - Sun May 29, 2011 8:50 AM EDT
                                      Reply
                                      DocPhil

                                      The problem with this argument is that we are involved in a ponzi scheme when we are using fossil fuels to generate all energy including non-fossil energy. The need to go for quickly renewable resources like wind and solar energy are the only ways our hyper-industrial society will survive into the 22nd century.

                                      • 4 votes
                                      Reply#12 - Sun May 29, 2011 1:34 PM EDT
                                      TryUsingLogic

                                      The need to go for quickly renewable resources like wind and solar energy are the only ways our hyper-industrial society will survive into the 22nd century.

                                      I guess you missed the central point in the IPCC report that Ridley wrote about?

                                        #12.1 - Sun May 29, 2011 2:18 PM EDT
                                        Reply
                                        chitownty

                                        I think the buying of more energy efficient cars is a good thing.Less pollution,and it keeps some people employed and it sets a good example for the rest of society.Sure that in itself isn't going to solve the problem,but a journey of 1000 miles begins with one step.Whats not to like ?

                                        • 1 vote
                                        Reply#13 - Sun May 29, 2011 7:59 PM EDT
                                        TryUsingLogic

                                        I think the buying of more energy efficient cars is a good thing.Less pollution

                                        True...but buy the smart Hybrids by Ford and Toyota and not the Chevy Volt....a boondoggle by GM! There is smart green energy and dumb green ideas......think before you buy!

                                          #13.1 - Sun May 29, 2011 8:58 PM EDT
                                          leeman1525

                                          I think the buying of more energy efficient cars is a good thing.Less pollution

                                          True...but buy the smart Hybrids by Ford and Toyota and not the Chevy Volt....a boondoggle by GM! There is smart green energy and dumb green ideas......think before you buy!

                                          What is wrong with the Volt? The cost might be a little high but it will come down.

                                          • 2 votes
                                          #13.2 - Sun May 29, 2011 11:47 PM EDT
                                          TryUsingLogic

                                          What is wrong with the Volt? The cost might be a little high butl it will come down.

                                          It has to be charged every night by an additional 240 volt outlet that can be expensive to install in many homes. The electricity comes from more use of power plants using coal and gas power which is what we are worrying about. The only thing that makes an electric car make sense....nuclear power...... and that is only 2% of our power source today. Ford and Toyota have great hybrid cars that make a real green difference and don't have to be plugged in somewhere. The Volt is a marketing ploy and a technical blunder!

                                            #13.3 - Mon May 30, 2011 12:20 AM EDT
                                            leeman1525

                                            TryUsingLogic

                                            Even if a car is getting is power from a coal plant it still is a net reduction in the amount of green house gas emissions released. Nuclear power is on the way out, take a look at Germany.

                                            • 2 votes
                                            #13.4 - Mon May 30, 2011 1:13 AM EDT
                                            Physicist-retired

                                            TryUsingLogic,

                                            The only thing that makes an electric car make sense....nuclear power...... and that is only 2% of our power source today.

                                            Not factual - in fact far from it.

                                            Numerous studies show that plug-in hybrids reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by 37%-67% compared with internal combustion engines in ‘well-to-wheels’ analyses, using electricy from our existing power plants (a mix of coal, gas, NG, and other sources). They reduce all other greenhouse gas emissions too.

                                            Purely electric vehicles reduce CO2 by 11%-100% (depending on the power source) compared with internal combustion engines, and significantly reduce all other greenhouse gas emissions, again using the existing U.S. grid mix.

                                            Even using electricity strictly from coal, electric vehicles still reduce CO2 by up to 59% compared with internal combustion engines. It’s a simple matter of efficiencies.

                                            • 3 votes
                                            #13.5 - Mon May 30, 2011 6:48 AM EDT
                                            TryUsingLogic

                                            Not factual - in fact far from it.

                                            Cars like the Chevy Volt that are expensive and impractical to most consumers for their daily needs are not the answer. If all the people driving gas powered cars change to electric cars the polluting power plants will be come the problem along with the waste problem of batteries. Nuclear energy is the only reasonable path for more electric cars. And you must figure in the fact that the totalitarian states will not give a flip about conforming to our clean energy specs! Numerous studies show that we will cripple the free world economy by forcing green energy when it is not yet viable.

                                            • 1 vote
                                            #13.6 - Mon May 30, 2011 8:58 AM EDT
                                            Physicist-retired

                                            If all the people driving gas powered cars change to electric cars the polluting power plants will be come the problem

                                            That is a most illogical response.

                                            If electric vehicles and hybrids reduce GHGs (which they do), then 'polluting power plants' do not become 'the problem' as we move towards increased use of them. Emissions are still reduced - period. And this is a technology which we already possess.

                                            As for 'totalitarian states' and our 'green energy specs', I challenge you to name one totalitarian state with a per capita carbon footprint that even comes close to ours.

                                            Just one.

                                            Try using logic.

                                            • 4 votes
                                            #13.7 - Mon May 30, 2011 9:10 AM EDT
                                            Colorado Bob

                                            If all the people driving gas powered cars change to electric cars the polluting power plants will be come the problem

                                            Not if there's a solar panel charging the car during the day.

                                            • 2 votes
                                            #13.8 - Mon May 30, 2011 1:18 PM EDT
                                            TryUsingLogic

                                            Not if there's a solar panel charging the car during the day.

                                            Hey... it could be designed to look like a sail for really windy and cloudy days!

                                              #13.9 - Mon May 30, 2011 6:05 PM EDT
                                              space guy

                                              Numerous studies show that plug-in hybrids reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by 37%-67%compared with internal combustion engines in ‘well-to-wheels’ analyses, using electricy from our existing power plants (a mix of coal, gas, NG, and other sources). They reduce all other greenhouse gas emissions too.

                                              Not possible.

                                              You need at least 40 kilowatt hours for a standard 40 minute one way commute. Multiply that by 50 million commuter cars and you get 40 x 50,000,000

                                              That is 20 gigawatt hours per day.

                                              that is 100 gigawatt hours per week. Just for 50 weeks and ignoring the weekends and all other driving that is 5 terawatt hours per year.

                                              Simply not going to happen with our existing infrastructure.

                                              • 2 votes
                                              #13.10 - Mon May 30, 2011 7:13 PM EDT
                                              space guy

                                              Expanded

                                              I missed the numbers a bit as I was sitting in an airport after being awake for 18 hours.

                                              The 20 gigawatt hours per day is actually 20 billion kilowatt hours per day. For a year that is 5 trillion kilowatt hours (which is actually 5 ettawatt hours).

                                              A standard nuclear plant (1 gigawatt) operating 94% of the time (standard today), will generate 22.56 gigawatt hours per day or 22.56 million kilowatt hours. Over a year, using the same numbers of 50 weeks to make it fair is 1.128 terawatt hours in a year or 1,128 billion kilowatt hours.

                                              To get to 5 ettawatt hours multiply by about 4,000, which is the number of nuclear plants that we would need to fully support just moving to plug hybrids.

                                              ___________________________________________

                                              Plug hybrids are stupid at the end of the day. A complete switch over to fuel cell vehicles would require LESS energy than what we would waste on plug hybrids, as plug hybrids are only about 50-70% as efficient as a fuel cell vehicle.

                                              I am all for getting off of oil, I am just not for simplistic solutions that cause more problems than they solve and plug hybrids are exactly that. They are the ethanol of electric vehicles.

                                              • 2 votes
                                              #13.11 - Tue May 31, 2011 10:00 AM EDT
                                              TryUsingLogic

                                              I am all for getting off of oil, I am just not for simplistic solutions that cause more problems than they solve and plug hybrids are exactly that. They are the ethanol of electric vehicles.

                                              Thanks for cutting to the chase on plug in cars!

                                              • 1 vote
                                              #13.12 - Tue May 31, 2011 3:07 PM EDT
                                              SamC

                                              Cars like the Chevy Volt are ideal for "flatlanders" with a short commute distance.

                                              In mountainous, hilly and/or sparsely populated states the electric vehicle wouldn't get you where you wanted to go ......... without re-charging the batteries before you got there.

                                              The claimed 50+- miles per "charge" is based on "flat running", ..... not climbing a 30% to 65% grade.

                                              Power is the rate of doing work. Lifting 1 pound weight 1 foot in one second is 1 foot-pound per second.

                                              If you lift 550 pounds 1 foot in 1 second that's 1 horsepower of power required.

                                              1 horsepower = 746 watts = 33,000 ft-lbf/min = 550 ft-lbf/s

                                              [lbs-of-Chevy-Volt / 550 lbs] X [#-ft-elevation] = #-hp, ..... #-hp X 746w = battery drain

                                              • 1 vote
                                              #13.13 - Wed Jun 1, 2011 9:24 AM EDT
                                              TryUsingLogic

                                              Cars like the Chevy Volt are ideal for "flatlanders" with a short commute distance.

                                              Your right on track.....great explanation!

                                              I have a 2010 Ford Fusion Hybrid and I like it because it has trunk space and drives like a luxury mid-size car.....nice power. I am getting 35 mile per gallon and live in mountain and hill country in New Mexico. My friend that lives in a flatter part of New Mexico is getting 40 mpg. Half of my driving time is up the mountain terrain and the other half going down. I still feel like the mileage is very good becasue it drives and feels like a real car at all speeds...not a toy and is capable of unrestricted distance driving!

                                              Thanks for your input.....

                                              • 1 vote
                                              #13.14 - Wed Jun 1, 2011 3:46 PM EDT
                                              Reply
                                              lifegenomeproject

                                              In resonse to "We need to rely on reason and fact to solve the energy problem.....not Utopian dreaming!"

                                              We have a bit of time for this discussion but the energy folks know where this going...good start with the CNN add...

                                                Reply#14 - Mon May 30, 2011 1:08 AM EDT
                                                MLCook

                                                Fargo, N.D. is flat land, as is most of central Canada and the Mid-West. You would be making a big mistake buying a Volt if you live in Fargo because as much as half the year the temp is below freezing at least part of most days and some days it is as cold as - 40 F.

                                                Batteries don't do well with cold. They lose a lot of efficiency. Worse yet, when it is minus ten degrees outside you really want the car heater and defroster on high the whole trip. Heating and defrosting electrically can draw as much power as the propulsion system for the car. Air conditioning in the 100 degree days that mid-America and Canada suffer during summers also draws a lot of juice, which cuts the travel range down to 25 miles if you are lucky.

                                                Back in 1962 my dad owned a Chevrolet Corvair, which had an air cooled rear engine like the VW bug and in stock form were the worst cars for winter driving you could own. In stock form they never warmed up.

                                                Dad's Corvair had an optional heater/defroster system that was gasoline powered straight from the main vehicle gas tank. This was an excellent system, much better than conventional cars which rely on hot water heat from the engine block.

                                                The gasoline heater was instant warmth, instant defrost. No warming up the engine, in fact the engine did not even have to be running. It was fantastic for drive-in movies or parking with your girl out in the tullies and making it so warm inside she wouldn't want clothes on. If you got stuck in a bad blizzard you could shut down the engine and the heater would run for 48 hrs on half a tank of gas.

                                                  Reply#15 - Wed Jun 1, 2011 11:49 AM EDT
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